GOP Strategist Predicts the Worst for Ted Cruz in New Hampshire


The disadvantage Ted Cruz faces in New Hampshire is so pronounced that numerous Republican political strategists have commented on it, saying that he lacks both the resources and recognition to seal the state up when voting starts. All in all, it appears the momentum Cruz gained from Iowa will go nowhere.

“‘I would advise Cruz to skip New Hampshire and go to South Carolina. I believe you shouldn’t compete anywhere where it’s not a favorable battlefield to win,’ said Stuart Stevens, a top adviser to Mitt Romney’s 2012 campaign.

‘History suggests there isn’t much of a momentum carryover from Iowa to New Hampshire,’ added Fergus Cullen, the author of a book on the New Hampshire primary and a former chairman of the New Hampshire Republican Party. (Cullen is personally supporting Gov. John Kasich, but holds no formal role). ‘Cruz doesn’t need to do well in New Hampshire. He has earned a bye week.’

While Cruz has a held a similar number of events in New Hampshire as, say, Sen. Marco Rubio, he has visited the state fewer times. For a period of two months, from Nov. 12 to Jan. 12, Cruz didn’t hold any events in the state, according to a New England Cable News tracker.

‘Cruz cannot [re-create his Iowa coalition there],’ said Charlie Black, who has served as a political adviser to Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush, and John McCain. New Hampshire, he said, ‘could be a traffic jam among four or five candidates.’

As of now, the Real Clear Politics polling average has Cruz in second in the Granite State. But observers say Cruz’s in-state organization is noticeably weaker in New Hampshire than in Iowa.

‘The Cruz ground game in Iowa is not evident in New Hampshire,’ said Bob Walker, a lobbyist and former GOP congressman—he is also an adviser to the Kasich campaign.

Source: The Daily Beast



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