Boehner Faces Real Possibility of an Ouster

The number of votes against Boehner “is easily into the 30s, and could well be into the 40s or even up to 50,” a GOP member said. “I think the votes are there.”

“You have to have 124 Republican votes to have a reasonable chance of success,” Albert Brooks argued in an interview with Breitbart News at the Stop Iran Rally.
“I think people suggesting 30 or 40 or even 50 Republicans supporting a motion to vacate the chair are misguided. They haven’t done the math. They haven’t talked to Democrats. I think there is a reasonable probability that Democrats will not vote [against Boehner]—that they will abstain—and in that case, if all Democrats abstain, you have to have 124 [GOP] votes for a motion ‘to vacate the chair’ to be successful.”

Source: Breitbart and Politico

Brooks worries that a replacement for Boehner might push through an amnesty bill—and do other things that are not conservative. He credits Boehner with eventually undercutting the “Gang of Eight” amnesty bill last Congress, following its passage through the Senate, even though Boehner wants to do an amnesty as much as anyone else.
Many GOP members think Planned Parenthood or funding the government could be the moment where Boehner will be voted out. We know there’s going to be some tough issues to tackle. And any of these items could well trigger an event. If the GOP is forced to take a vote it could be the end of John Boehner as leader.
This means that if all members of the House are present and voting, should the motion to remove Boehner as Speaker come up for a vote—and no Democrats vote for Boehner—those seeking to ouster Boehner will have reached the minimum threshold necessary to remove him as Speaker of the House.

Watch for Changes.